Mid Sussex Tactical Vote 2024
UPDATED FRIDAY 5th JULY 2024
So there it is. 9 polls who had the Lib Dems as favourite to take the seat from the Tories were right!
UPDATED Saturday 02 JULY 2024
Currently we can find 11 different sources offering constituency specific polling data for the Mid Sussex seat. The following is the tally of who is the leading candidate from each source. 9 polls now say the Lib Dems are favoured to take the seat from the Tories. And one still gives it to the Labour. But only a few percentage points in it.
UPDATED MONDAY 24 JUNE 2024
According to the Oddschecker site, using bets placed with Bet365, William Hill, Bet Victor and BoyleSport - the Lid Dem candidate is favourite to win the Mid Sussex seat, with their odds shortening. The odds of a Conservative or Labour win are drifting.
New Statesman 20th June https://sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/05/britainpredicts
Electoral Calculus 27th June.https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/calcwork23.py?postcode=rh15+9eu
Savanta/Telegraph 19th June. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/19/will-your-mp-lose-their-seat-use-our-search-tool/
Election Maps/Nowcast. 19th June. https://electionmaps.uk/nowcast
The Economist. 29th June. https://www.economist.com/interactive/uk-general-election/forecast
More In Common. 19th June. https://www.moreincommon.org.uk/general-election-2024/mrp-19-june-2024/
Survation 15th June. https://www.survation.com/mrp-update-first-mrp-since-farages-return/
Ipsos. 18th June.https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/uk-opinion-polls/ipsos-election-mrp
Focaldata 24th June. https://www.focaldata.com/blog/focaldata-prolific-uk-general-election-mrp